Page 184 - 《广西植物》2026年第6期
P. 184

6 期              潘尹茜雪等: 气候变化对澳洲坚果在中国潜在生态适宜种植区的影响                                          1 0 9 9

               411-419.                                          on HadGEM3 ̄GC3. 1 ̄LL simulations in the framework of
            JIAO Yꎬ ZOU M Hꎬ ZENG Hꎬ et al.ꎬ 2008. Research progress of  CMIP6 [J]. Advances in Meteorologyꎬ 2023(1): 3956086.
               macadamia [J]. Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciencesꎬ36  MILLER R Gꎬ 1974. The jackknife — a review [ J ].
               (8): 3366-3368. [焦云ꎬ 邹明宏ꎬ 曾辉ꎬ 等ꎬ 2008. 澳洲坚        Biometrikaꎬ 61(1): 1-15.
               果研究进展 [J]. 安徽农业科学ꎬ 36(8): 3366-3368.]           NIE Y Lꎬ LI C Pꎬ WANG Lꎬ et al.ꎬ 2023. Effects of planting
            LI J Yꎬ CHEN Y Tꎬ GUO Y Qꎬ et al.ꎬ 2023. Potential suitable  scale and management level on macadamia nut yield
               areas of Symphyotrichum subulatum based on MaxEnt under  [ J ]. Journal of Southwest Forestry University ( Natural
               future climate scenarios [J]. Plant Protectionꎬ 49(2): 92-  Sciences) ꎬ 43(3): 161-168. [聂艳丽ꎬ 李翠萍ꎬ 王丽ꎬ
               102. [李建宇ꎬ 陈燕婷ꎬ 郭燕青ꎬ 等ꎬ 2023. 基于 MaxEnt           等ꎬ 2023. 种植规模及管理水平对澳洲坚果产量的影响
               预测未来气候条件下钻叶紫菀在中国的潜在适生区                            [J]. 西南林业大学学报(自然科学)ꎬ 43(3): 161-168.]
               [J]. 植物保护ꎬ 49(2): 92-102.]                      PERDONÁ M Jꎬ SORATTO R Pꎬ 2015. Higher yield and
            LI S Yꎬ MIAO L Jꎬ JIANG Z Hꎬ et al.ꎬ 2020. Projected drought  economic benefits are achieved in the macadamia crop by
               conditions in Northwest China with CMIP6 models under  irrigation and intercropping with coffee [ J ]. Scientia
               combined SSPs and RCPs for 2015-2099 [J]. Advances in  Horticulturaeꎬ 185: 59-67.
               Climate Change Researchꎬ 11(3): 210-217.        PHILLIPS S Jꎬ ANDERSON R Pꎬ SCHAPIRE R Eꎬ 2006.
            LI Yꎬ ZHANG X Wꎬ FANG Y Mꎬ 2014. Predicting the impact  Maximum  entropy  modeling  of  species  geographic
               of global warming on the geographical distribution pattern of  distributions [ J ].  Ecological  Modellingꎬ 190(3/ 4):
               Quercus variabilis in China [J]. Chinese Journal of Applied  231-259.
               Ecologyꎬ 25(12): 3381-3389. [李垚ꎬ 张兴旺ꎬ 方炎明ꎬ      RAMIREZ ̄CABRAL N Y Zꎬ KUMAR Lꎬ SHABANI Fꎬ
               2014. 气候变暖对中国栓皮栎地理分布格局影响的预测                       2017. Global alterations in areas of suitability for maize
               [J]. 应用生态学报ꎬ 25(12): 3381-3389.]                  production from climate change and using a mechanistic
            LI Z Gꎬ RUAN F Yꎬ ZHANG X Qꎬ 2024. Potential suitable  species distribution model ( CLIMEX ) [ J ]. Scientific
               habitats for Macadamia integrifolia under climate change  Reportsꎬ 7(1): 5910.
               scenarios based on maximum entropy model [ J]. Forest  SHCHEGLOVITOVA Mꎬ ANDERSON R Pꎬ 2013. Estimating
               Inventory and Planningꎬ 49(2): 191-197. [李章贵ꎬ 阮方  optimal complexity for ecological niche models: A jackknife
               佑ꎬ 张学全ꎬ 2024. 基于最大熵模型的气候变化情景下澳                    approach for species with small sample sizes [J]. Ecological
               洲坚果潜在适宜生境研究 [J]. 林业调查规划ꎬ 49(2):                   Modellingꎬ 269: 9-17.
               191-197.]                                       SHI X Qꎬ SHEN J Xꎬ HE C Lꎬ et al.ꎬ 2025. Analysis of habitat
            LIU J Fꎬ HUANG Lꎬ 2005. Nutritional value of macadamia nuts  suitability and conservation gap of the Yunnan snub ̄nosed
               and its exploitation and utilization [J]. Food and Nutrition in  Monkey based on MaxEnt model [ J]. Chinese Journal of
               China(2): 25-26. [刘建福ꎬ 黄莉ꎬ 2005. 澳洲坚果的营           Wildlifeꎬ 46(1): 14-23. [石小倩ꎬ 沈金祥ꎬ 和春兰ꎬ 等ꎬ
               养价值及其开发利用 [J]. 中国食物与营养(2): 25-26.]                2025. 基于 MaxEnt 模型的滇金丝猴生境适宜性及保护空
            LIU P Fꎬ WANG Lꎬ DU Q Xꎬ et al.ꎬ 2020. Estimation of  缺分析 [J]. 野生动物学报ꎬ 46(1): 14-23.]
               potential suitable distribution area and the ecological  SOMWONGIN Sꎬ SIRILUN Sꎬ CHANTAWANNAKUL Pꎬ et
               characteristics of Eucommia ulmoides Oliv. in China [J]. Acta  al.ꎬ 2023. Ultrasound ̄assisted green extraction methods: An
               Ecologica Sinicaꎬ 40(16): 5674-5684. [刘攀峰ꎬ 王璐ꎬ 杜庆  approach for  cosmeceutical  compounds isolation from
               鑫ꎬ 等ꎬ 2020. 杜仲在我国的潜在适生区估计及其生态特征                   Macadamia  integrifolia  pericarp  [ J ].  Ultrasonics
               分析 [J]. 生态学报ꎬ 40(16): 5674-5684.]                 Sonochemistryꎬ 92: 106266.
            LIU Yꎬ HE Nꎬ ZENG X Sꎬ et al.ꎬ 2023. Literature analysis and  STOCKMAN A Kꎬ BEAMER D Aꎬ BOND J Eꎬ 2006. An
               future development of macadamia research [J]. South China  evaluation of a GARP model as an approach to predicting the
               Fruitsꎬ 52(3): 247 - 249. [ 刘 姚ꎬ 何 楠ꎬ 曾 小 姗ꎬ 等ꎬ   spatial distribution of  non ̄vagile  invertebrate  species
               2023. 关于澳洲坚果研究的文献分析及发展趋势 [J]. 中                   [J]. Diversity and Distributionsꎬ 12(1): 81-89.
               国南方果树ꎬ 52(3): 247-249.]                         SWETS J Aꎬ 1988. Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems
            LÜ J Jꎬ WU J Gꎬ 2009. Advances in the effects of climate change  [J]. Scienceꎬ 240(4857): 1285-1293.
               on the distribution of plant species and vegetation in China  TANG Tꎬ WEN S Jꎬ CHAI J Qꎬ et al.ꎬ 2024. Research progress
               [J]. Environmental Science & Technologyꎬ 32 (6): 85 -  on regularity of nutrient activation and phosphorus nutrition
               95. [吕佳佳ꎬ 吴建国ꎬ 2009. 气候变化对植物及植被分布的                in macadamia rhizosphere soil [J]. South China Fruitsꎬ 53
               影响研究进展 [J]. 环境科学与技术ꎬ 32(6): 85-95.]               (6): 276-281. [唐涛ꎬ 文思捷ꎬ 柴佳琪ꎬ 等ꎬ 2024. 澳洲
            LÜ Z Wꎬ ZHU X Rꎬ YE X Zꎬ et al.ꎬ 2024. Impacts of climate  坚果根 际 土 壤 养 分 活 化 与 磷 素 营 养 规 律 研 究 进 展
               change on the suitable habitats and spatial migration of  [J]. 中国南方果树ꎬ 53(6): 276-281.]
               Tetraena mongolica [ J]. Acta Ecologica Sinicaꎬ 44 (3):  TAYLOR Sꎬ KUMAR Lꎬ 2013. Potential distribution of an
               1164-1176. [吕增伟ꎬ 朱晓如ꎬ 叶兴状ꎬ 等ꎬ 2024. 气候变           invasive species under climate change scenarios using
               化对四合木适生区及空间迁移的影响 [J]. 生态学报ꎬ                       CLIMEX and soil drainage: A case study of Lantana camara
               44(3): 1164-1176.]                                L. in Queenslandꎬ Australia [J]. Journal of Environmental
            MANTYKA ̄PRINGLE C Sꎬ MARTIN T Gꎬ RHODES JRꎬ et       Managementꎬ 114: 414-422.
               al.ꎬ 2012. Interactions between climate and habitat loss  WANG C Hꎬ WEN Y Bꎬ REN W Zꎬ 2023. Classification of
               effects on biodiversity: a systematic review and meta ̄analysis  suitable planting areas for Macadamia ternifolia in Yunnan
               [J]. Global Change Biologyꎬ 18(4): 1239-1252.     based on GIS [J]. Forest Inventory and Planningꎬ 48(3):
            MICHAELIDES Sꎬ 2023. Modes of atmospheric energetics based  46-49. [王翠华ꎬ 文涌彬ꎬ 任万竹ꎬ 2023. 基于 GIS 的澳
   179   180   181   182   183   184   185   186